Bivariate Gap-Phillips Curve model

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TomDoan
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Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

Bivariate Gap-Phillips Curve model

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This is an example of a joint state-space model combining a decomposition of unemployment into NAWRU+gap and a Phillips curve. This is from the the 2nd Edition of the State-Space/DSGE e-course. The most complicated part of this is choosing the proper decomposition and restrictions for unemployment, which is the subject of two other examples from the course. The addition of second observable (inflation) creates a more complex state-space model, but the key to good results is a good unemployment decomposition (which might require a different model for a different country).

A similar model is Laubach and Williams(2003) while Matheson and Stavrev(2013) is a similar model but with time-varying coefficients in the Phillips curve.
ss_6_5.rpf
Program file
(6.28 KiB) Downloaded 773 times
gap44_data.xls
Data file
(23.5 KiB) Downloaded 563 times
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