Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Shock

Questions and discussions on Vector Autoregressions
abhishek
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Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Shock

Unread post by abhishek »

Hi
I am trying to estimate a Structural VAR model with short and long run restrictions and I want one set of structural error to be correlated. Is it possible to do?
TomDoan
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Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by TomDoan »

Yes, but it's usually the job of the short-run restrictions to get rid of the contemporaneous correlation. (That's how you end up identifying shocks when the long-run restrictions aren't enough).
abhishek
Posts: 23
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2015 1:18 am

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by abhishek »

Hi Tom
Thanks for your reply. I need structural shocks to be correlated. Cover et.al.(2005) did this in a three variable set up. Can you tell me a bit about how to do it in Rats? Many Thanks
abhishek
Posts: 23
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2015 1:18 am

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by abhishek »

Hi
They had a simple set up that was easy to solve. How to go when we have more number of variables?
TomDoan
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Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by TomDoan »

Could you please give an actual reference?
abhishek
Posts: 23
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2015 1:18 am

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by abhishek »

Thanks Tom. Please find the attached references.
Identifying aggregate demand and supply shocks in a small open economy: Walter Enders and Stan Hurn (2005)

Using the Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply Model to Identify Structural Demand-Side and Supply-Side Shocks: Results Using a Bivariate VAR: Cover, Enders and Hueng (2003). Sorry I mentioned 2005 in my earlier post.

http://oep.oxfordjournals.org/content/59/3/411.full
abhishek
Posts: 23
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2015 1:18 am

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by abhishek »

Hi Tom

What is the correct format of AFRML? As I am getting error "Identifier AFRML is Not Recognizable". Can I write one element as b(1)*-0.5 where b(1) is the element, I am going to estimate.
abhishek
Posts: 23
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2015 1:18 am

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by abhishek »

Hi Tom,

One more thing, how can we get VAR coefficients after model. I am not talking about print. I mean how we can use them in writing constraints.
TomDoan
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Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by TomDoan »

abhishek wrote:Hi Tom,

One more thing, how can we get VAR coefficients after model. I am not talking about print. I mean how we can use them in writing constraints.
%VARLAGSUMS has all the information needed for doing long-run restrictions.
TomDoan
Posts: 7814
Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by TomDoan »

abhishek wrote:Hi Tom

What is the correct format of AFRML? As I am getting error "Identifier AFRML is Not Recognizable". Can I write one element as b(1)*-0.5 where b(1) is the element, I am going to estimate.
I assume because you named it something other than AFRML. The A option takes the form A=name of your FRML[RECT]. See the example in the other thread. Yes, you can use that as one element in the FRML.
abhishek
Posts: 23
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2015 1:18 am

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by abhishek »

Thanks Tom.

I am getting this error. Can't I do this.
Attachments
Screen Shot 2016-03-30 at 11.42.02 PM.png
Screen Shot 2016-03-30 at 11.42.02 PM.png (52.83 KiB) Viewed 19605 times
abhishek
Posts: 23
Joined: Wed Jul 01, 2015 1:18 am

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by abhishek »

I am trying a FIML on the lines of Keating (1990). I am not sure where Rats implements this with A restrictions.
TomDoan
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Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by TomDoan »

abhishek wrote:Thanks Tom.

I am getting this error. Can't I do this.
Did you actually execute all those instructions? It looks like you tried to do the CVMODEL out-of-sequence. If you execute all those instructions, you can't get that error message.

Aside from that, that model can't possibly work---you have eight free parameters with five in the parameter set and three variances, which is two more than you can have for a three variable covariance matrix.
TomDoan
Posts: 7814
Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh

Unread post by TomDoan »

abhishek wrote:I am trying a FIML on the lines of Keating (1990). I am not sure where Rats implements this with A restrictions.
Again, I would ask you to give full references.
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