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Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Shock
Posted: Sun Feb 28, 2016 10:59 am
by abhishek
Hi
I am trying to estimate a Structural VAR model with short and long run restrictions and I want one set of structural error to be correlated. Is it possible to do?
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Sun Feb 28, 2016 11:13 am
by TomDoan
Yes, but it's usually the job of the short-run restrictions to get rid of the contemporaneous correlation. (That's how you end up identifying shocks when the long-run restrictions aren't enough).
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Sun Feb 28, 2016 11:56 am
by abhishek
Hi Tom
Thanks for your reply. I need structural shocks to be correlated. Cover et.al.(2005) did this in a three variable set up. Can you tell me a bit about how to do it in Rats? Many Thanks
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Sun Feb 28, 2016 12:00 pm
by abhishek
Hi
They had a simple set up that was easy to solve. How to go when we have more number of variables?
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Sun Feb 28, 2016 12:21 pm
by TomDoan
Could you please give an actual reference?
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Sun Feb 28, 2016 12:36 pm
by abhishek
Thanks Tom. Please find the attached references.
Identifying aggregate demand and supply shocks in a small open economy: Walter Enders and Stan Hurn (2005)
Using the Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply Model to Identify Structural Demand-Side and Supply-Side Shocks: Results Using a Bivariate VAR: Cover, Enders and Hueng (2003). Sorry I mentioned 2005 in my earlier post.
http://oep.oxfordjournals.org/content/59/3/411.full
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Mon Feb 29, 2016 9:51 am
by TomDoan
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2016 11:56 am
by abhishek
Hi Tom
What is the correct format of AFRML? As I am getting error "Identifier AFRML is Not Recognizable". Can I write one element as b(1)*-0.5 where b(1) is the element, I am going to estimate.
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2016 12:01 pm
by abhishek
Hi Tom,
One more thing, how can we get VAR coefficients after model. I am not talking about print. I mean how we can use them in writing constraints.
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2016 12:49 pm
by TomDoan
abhishek wrote:Hi Tom,
One more thing, how can we get VAR coefficients after model. I am not talking about print. I mean how we can use them in writing constraints.
%VARLAGSUMS has all the information needed for doing long-run restrictions.
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2016 12:52 pm
by TomDoan
abhishek wrote:Hi Tom
What is the correct format of AFRML? As I am getting error "Identifier AFRML is Not Recognizable". Can I write one element as b(1)*-0.5 where b(1) is the element, I am going to estimate.
I assume because you named it something other than AFRML. The A option takes the form A=name of your FRML[RECT]. See the example in the other thread. Yes, you can use that as one element in the FRML.
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2016 1:13 pm
by abhishek
Thanks Tom.
I am getting this error. Can't I do this.
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2016 1:15 pm
by abhishek
I am trying a FIML on the lines of Keating (1990). I am not sure where Rats implements this with A restrictions.
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2016 5:29 pm
by TomDoan
abhishek wrote:Thanks Tom.
I am getting this error. Can't I do this.
Did you actually execute all those instructions? It looks like you tried to do the CVMODEL out-of-sequence. If you execute all those instructions, you can't get that error message.
Aside from that, that model can't possibly work---you have eight free parameters with five in the parameter set and three variances, which is two more than you can have for a three variable covariance matrix.
Re: Short and Long Run Restrictions,Correlated Structural Sh
Posted: Wed Mar 30, 2016 5:30 pm
by TomDoan
abhishek wrote:I am trying a FIML on the lines of Keating (1990). I am not sure where Rats implements this with A restrictions.
Again, I would ask you to give full references.