Historical Decomposition Using Model from Different Period

Questions and discussions on Vector Autoregressions
macro_man
Posts: 24
Joined: Fri Apr 10, 2009 1:53 pm

Historical Decomposition Using Model from Different Period

Unread post by macro_man »

Dear Estima,

Let's say I estimate a VAR model over the period 1980-2007 and impose restrictions to identify the structural shocks. Now, let's say I want to take the model estimated for the 1980-2007 and use it to do a historical decomposition of the shocks over the period after 2007. That is, I want to use one period's estimated VAR and factorization and apply it to a subsequent period. Is this possible and if so, is there an example you can point me to? Thanks.
TomDoan
Posts: 7814
Joined: Wed Nov 01, 2006 4:36 pm

Re: Historical Decomposition Using Model from Different Peri

Unread post by TomDoan »

The basic calculation is the same as is required for doing historical decomposition with simulated coefficients. (Section 4.3 of the VAR e-course workbook). You have to recompute the residuals for the one period using the coefficients from the other (rather than using simulated coefficients).
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