Bekk Interpretation issue
Posted: Fri Dec 13, 2013 12:12 pm
Hello I'm somewhat of a newbie dealing with the multivariate garch structures and wander how to interpret the BEKK coefficients signs. What bothers me in particularly is the minus signs infront of the A(11) and A(22) terms and how exactly are those parameters interpreted.
Thank you in advance!
Here is my output:
Thank you in advance!
Here is my output:
Code: Select all
GARCH(P=1,Q=1,MV=BEKK,ROBUST,ITERS=2000) / DCRUDE_OIL DWHEAT
MV-GARCH, BEKK - Estimation by BFGS
Convergence in 59 Iterations. Final criterion was 0.0000000 <= 0.0000100
With Heteroscedasticity/Misspecification Adjusted Standard Errors
Daily(5) Data From 2007:07:02 To 2013:06:13
Usable Observations 1554
Log Likelihood 4142.3217
Variable Coeff Std Error T-Stat Signif
************************************************************************************
1. Mean(1) 4.541567636 0.003804514 1193.73149 0.00000000
2. Mean(2) 6.564543294 0.005803557 1131.12412 0.00000000
3. C(1,1) 0.014945724 0.001230371 12.14733 0.00000000
4. C(2,1) 0.002034286 0.003008181 0.67625 0.49888117
5. C(2,2) -0.021780629 0.001449500 -15.02631 0.00000000
6. A(1,1) -0.974548136 0.021436936 -45.46117 0.00000000
7. A(1,2) 0.004802817 0.004723004 1.01690 0.30920161
8. A(2,1) -0.008615723 0.003666927 -2.34958 0.01879480
9. A(2,2) -0.977314701 0.019606939 -49.84535 0.00000000
10. B(1,1) 0.200349088 0.099082415 2.02204 0.04317172
11. B(1,2) 0.011969347 0.007646136 1.56541 0.11748653
12. B(2,1) -0.017865809 0.023281752 -0.76737 0.44285924
13. B(2,2) 0.196727305 0.097557746 2.01652 0.04374546