Search found 5 matches

by geer
Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:16 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: conditional forecast
Replies: 9
Views: 90752

Re: conditional forecast

Thank you for your help! Maybe I have not thoroughly understood your code. Can I put the PRICE variable in a table and re-estimate and re-forecast the models? It means that if I could do the recursive program through each rows? Because PRICE variable is not a constant. And if I'd like to do a 3-step...
by geer
Wed Aug 23, 2023 9:26 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: conditional forecast
Replies: 9
Views: 90752

Re: conditional forecast

Yes, there are more data points in my data. I want to re-estimate the model each time. For example, in the first estimation, I estimate the model from 2007:8 to 2009:7 and forecast the values of variables on 2009:8. And in the second estimation, I re-estimate the model from 2007:9 to 2009:8 (always ...
by geer
Wed Aug 23, 2023 3:06 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: conditional forecast
Replies: 9
Views: 90752

Re: conditional forecast

Thanks Tom. It works now, maybe I did something wrong before. And can I use RATS do loop statement based on conditional forecast? For example, If I want to use the data from the first 24 periods to predict the 25th period, and push forward one period each time for prediction. What type of program ca...
by geer
Tue Aug 22, 2023 9:30 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: conditional forecast
Replies: 9
Views: 90752

Re: conditional forecast

My conditional forecast code is as follows: OPEN DATA "C:\Users\geer\Desktop\four.csv" CALENDAR(M) 2007:8 DATA(FORMAT=PRN,NOLABELS,ORG=COLUMNS) 2007:08 2009:07 DEMAND OUTPUT PRICE IPRICE SYSTEM(MODEL=VAR1) VARIABLES DEMAND OUTPUT PRICE IPRICE LAGS 1 DET END(SYSTEM) ESTIMATE 2007:08 2009:07...
by geer
Tue Aug 22, 2023 11:30 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: conditional forecast
Replies: 9
Views: 90752

conditional forecast

I am trying to use the conditional forecast example of the User's Guide, Section 7.7.2 (CONDITION.RPF). It is based on VAR model. However, the RATS displays an error message: I2. Expected Instruction Here. Do you know what's the error? The code is listed as follows: open data oecdsample.rat calendar...