Search found 9 matches
- Fri Nov 01, 2019 4:34 pm
- Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
- Topic: From Cointegration to estimation
- Replies: 37
- Views: 238472
Re: From Cointegration to estimation
Dear all, I want to know how I can incorporate a structural break within a cointegrating vector once I detect cointegration with a structural break. For instance, I applied the Johansen cointegration test with a structural break (Johansen, S., R. Mosconi and B. Nielsen (2000). Cointegration analysis...
- Sat Oct 19, 2019 7:29 pm
- Forum: Structural Breaks and Switching Models
- Topic: IRF for STAR models
- Replies: 14
- Views: 99601
Re: IRF for STAR models
Dear Tom.How to Switch if You Must
How should I cite a RatsLetter?
Best,
PC
- Fri Sep 20, 2019 10:54 am
- Forum: Structural Breaks and Switching Models
- Topic: Forecasting using a LSTAR model
- Replies: 9
- Views: 70194
Re: Forecasting using a LSTAR model
Thanks for the suggestion of the FRML function. By the way, what is this? frml flstar = (1+exp(-((delta)/(1-delta))*(ZV-c)))**-1 This expression is a parameterization which tries to nest a TAR model. I define δ∈ (0,1], such that δ=γ/(1+γ) with δ→0 as γ→0 and δ→1 as γ→∞. In the case of δ→1 it will be...
- Thu Sep 19, 2019 10:29 pm
- Forum: Structural Breaks and Switching Models
- Topic: Forecasting using a LSTAR model
- Replies: 9
- Views: 70194
Re: Forecasting using a LSTAR model
In fact, ZV is the absolute value of (LM-LM{5}). Should I modify this in my code in order to forecast? Would this work?
Thanks
PC
Thanks
PC
- Thu Sep 19, 2019 8:31 pm
- Forum: Structural Breaks and Switching Models
- Topic: Forecasting using a LSTAR model
- Replies: 9
- Views: 70194
Re: Forecasting using a LSTAR model
This is my code: cal 1870 open data lm.xls data(org=col, format=xls) 1870:1 2010:1 LM ZV * linreg(NOPRINT,define=basemodel) LM # constant LM{1 5} nonlin(parmset=starparms) delta c frml flstar = (1+exp(-((delta)/(1-delta))*(ZV-c)))**-1 * set trend = t * stats(noprint) ZV compute c=%mean compute delta...
- Thu Sep 19, 2019 6:27 pm
- Forum: Structural Breaks and Switching Models
- Topic: Forecasting using a LSTAR model
- Replies: 9
- Views: 70194
Re: Forecasting using a LSTAR model
Dear Tom, I want to forecast using the following code: group starmodel star>>sforecast * * Computes forecasts for 40 steps beginning in 2001 by taking * the mean of simulated values over 10000 replications. * set meanf 2001:1 2040:1 = 0.0 compute nreps=10000 do reps=1,nreps simulate(model=starmodel,...
- Tue Sep 17, 2019 11:56 pm
- Forum: Structural Breaks and Switching Models
- Topic: IRF for STAR models
- Replies: 14
- Views: 99601
Re: IRF for STAR models
Dear Tom, in Farooq (2005) "Multiple unemployment equilibria and asymmetric dynamics—Norwegian evidence" (Structural Change and Economic Dynamics) he presents an IRF, which, depending on the size of the shock, converges to one or another equilibrium (If the size of the shock is such that t...
- Thu Sep 12, 2019 9:50 pm
- Forum: Structural Breaks and Switching Models
- Topic: Estimation of LSTAR models
- Replies: 14
- Views: 69625
Re: Estimation of LSTAR models
Dear Tom.
Eitrheim and Teräsvirta (1996) in "Testing the adequacy of smooth transition autoregressive models" (Journal of Econometrics) propose some diagnostic test after estimating an LSTAR model. Is there any code I can use to estimate those test in RATS?
Best,
PC
Eitrheim and Teräsvirta (1996) in "Testing the adequacy of smooth transition autoregressive models" (Journal of Econometrics) propose some diagnostic test after estimating an LSTAR model. Is there any code I can use to estimate those test in RATS?
Best,
PC
- Wed Aug 28, 2019 1:29 pm
- Forum: Structural Breaks and Switching Models
- Topic: Estimation of LSTAR models
- Replies: 14
- Views: 69625
Estimation of LSTAR models using ML
Dear Tom and RATS users, I have to estimate an LSTAR model. I have used NLLS and now I want to use ML to compare; the code I am employing is the following: calendar(a) 1865:1 allocate 2010:1 open data data(format=xls,org=obs) * declare series ys declare integer d * nonlin(parmset=starparms) gamma mu...