Search found 22 matches

by pfb382
Tue Sep 26, 2017 1:42 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR
Replies: 13
Views: 20599

Re: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR

TOM! Thanks so much! Perfect! Now it all makes more sense!
by pfb382
Thu Sep 21, 2017 9:10 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR
Replies: 13
Views: 20599

Re: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR

I enclosed the code for two countries, they both run with the same data set. While for Burundi, the W significance is indeed little, I also posted the code for Rwanda. There it is much significant, but RwIn is still tied to 0 (an that is the case for any country model I run). In my eyes that makes n...
by pfb382
Wed Sep 20, 2017 5:47 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR
Replies: 13
Views: 20599

Re: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR

... and why are BuIn responses from W-shocks bound to 0 in the the first period (happens for any country model), but is not the case for TOT-shocks... It shouldnt be bound to 0 ideally, or is there a reason why it is like that?!
by pfb382
Wed Sep 20, 2017 3:56 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR
Replies: 13
Views: 20599

Re: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR

OK.. But cant I rewrite the the VECM as a SE by creating the cointegration vector and then just compose the VECM.. The thing is that the model consists of regional and domestic variables and i am primarily interested in the effect of the exo. variables only towards the domestic variables.. That why ...
by pfb382
Wed Sep 20, 2017 1:11 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR
Replies: 13
Views: 20599

Re: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR

Thanks Tom, thats a great idea. I just run a simultaneous equation model and eliminate the exogenous variable of interest from the equation of the endogenous variable of interest, right? But you dont have anything in mind that can be used to find out their relative importance?! - relative to the oth...
by pfb382
Wed Sep 20, 2017 10:19 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR
Replies: 13
Views: 20599

Re: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR

Hi Tom. Is there a certain way that RATS shows me the partial R^2 for my exogenous variables (TOTC and W)? Currently it only presents the t-stat and its significance! Thanks. my code: * * * Monte Carlo integration with shock to "exogenous" variable * compute lags=2 ;*Number of lags compute...
by pfb382
Wed Jun 28, 2017 3:47 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: Shock in exogenous variables in a SVAR
Replies: 37
Views: 70895

Re: Shock in exogenous variables in a SVAR

Hi Tom,

I have tried it on different PCs, reinstalled RATS, shortened the equation, ... but RATS keeps crashing when the the Progress Box of the MC integration appears. Why is that? Thanks!
by pfb382
Mon Jun 26, 2017 10:44 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: Shock in exogenous variables in a SVAR
Replies: 37
Views: 70895

Re: Shock in exogenous variables in a SVAR

Ah ok. thanks. So i added # lwEAC_B lBuGDP wEACI_B BuIn underneath the first equation as well. And yes, those two variables are stationary. It seems to work now. But for some reason my RATS always completely crashes and shut down as soon as the MC simulation starts (the estimation though seems to wo...
by pfb382
Mon Jun 26, 2017 4:05 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: Shock in exogenous variables in a SVAR
Replies: 37
Views: 70895

Re: Shock in exogenous variables in a SVAR

Great, Tom. Thanks so much. So I have an VECM with 2 cointegration relationships (stationary inflation) and 3 strongly exogenous variables that should enter contemporaneously as well as the first lag. I want to see the impulse responses of my 3 exogenous variables on my endogenous (with condi. I hav...
by pfb382
Sun Jun 25, 2017 12:00 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: Shock in exogenous variables in a SVAR
Replies: 37
Views: 70895

Re: Shock in exogenous variables in a SVAR

In terms of impulse response function of completely exogenous variables in a VECM-X model, does it matter which identification procedure I chose for the endogenous variables or is that unrelated?
by pfb382
Fri Jun 16, 2017 7:02 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: SVAR with cointegration restrictions a la Warne (1993)
Replies: 0
Views: 5125

SVAR with cointegration restrictions a la Warne (1993)

Hi, I have a quite specific question, but lets see. Would appreciate help very much! I am running a cointegration model, which I identify based on Anders Warne(1993)'s common trend model. http://www.texlips.net/awarne/code.html In the webpage above he provides the code, where file ctair.src contains...
by pfb382
Wed May 31, 2017 7:31 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: importance of exogenous regressor in VAR
Replies: 13
Views: 20599

importance of exogenous regressor in VAR

Hi, I have set up a VECM for regional and local variables. I also included some exogenous global variables. Now my question is how, can I compare the importance of local/regional vs global variables as the FEVD does not give my any input on the global variables. Is there a formal way of using the R_...
by pfb382
Sat Apr 22, 2017 5:41 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: Near VAR with Long Run restriction
Replies: 13
Views: 17792

Re: Near VAR with Long Run restriction

{
if factor(3,4)<0.0
compute factor=factor*%diag(||1.0,1.0,1.0,-1.0||)
}
Tom, this sign flipping might give my demand shock the positive effect on output , but it also flipps the positive demand shock to a negative response in inflation. Thats not really good. How to deal with that?
by pfb382
Thu Apr 20, 2017 10:04 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: Near VAR with Long Run restriction
Replies: 13
Views: 17792

Re: Near VAR with Long Run restriction

OK, I wont do the unit shocks then. I have one more question that is not necessarily RATS related, but I was unable to find the solution anywhere else. Would be grateful if you can help me out here as well. When I compare the IRFs of different countries. Do I need to calculate the correlation of the...