Hi, does any one have an example of simulated forecast paths (using monte carlo methods) of a variable from a vector error correction model?
Thank you.
Search found 10 matches
- Mon May 29, 2017 11:58 am
- Forum: Looking for Code?
- Topic: Monte Carlo forecast paths using a VECM model directly
- Replies: 1
- Views: 6063
- Sat Aug 20, 2016 6:23 am
- Forum: Data: Reading, Writing, Transforming
- Topic: Interpolating annual data to quarterly
- Replies: 1
- Views: 6023
Interpolating annual data to quarterly
Dear Sir, I was attempting to derive quarterly interpolated data for housing stock from a time series of annual data. As it is stock data that I am using, I wish to have the final quarter of each year equal to the value from the annual data (end-year) observation, so I presume that under options MAI...
- Tue Jul 12, 2016 10:16 am
- Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
- Topic: Retrieving inverse roots of the characteristic equation
- Replies: 2
- Views: 6408
- Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:02 am
- Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
- Topic: Retrieving inverse roots of the characteristic equation
- Replies: 2
- Views: 6408
Retrieving inverse roots of the characteristic equation
Hi, I'm trying to implement the ARDL/bounds testing methodology of Pesaran, Shin & Smith (2001) and was trying to retrieve the inverse roots of the characteristic equation from the unrestricted ECMs. Does anyone have an example of the commands/code I should use, please? Thanks.
- Fri Jan 22, 2016 3:13 am
- Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
- Topic: Recursive one-sided HP filtered trend
- Replies: 3
- Views: 6851
Re: Recursive one-sided HP filtered trend
You are probably aware of this, but in case you aren't ... all filters like this have serious problems near the edges of the data. The standard procedure to help minimize this is to augment the data with a forecast. (For example, see Ashley and Verbrugge, Econometric Reviews 2009). In quarterly dat...
- Wed Jan 06, 2016 11:56 am
- Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
- Topic: Recursive one-sided HP filtered trend
- Replies: 3
- Views: 6851
Recursive one-sided HP filtered trend
Hi, does any one have an example of a one-sided Hodrick-Prescott filter for the purpose of calculating gaps/deviations from trend (e.g., credit to GDP ratio)? Thanks.
- Mon Mar 23, 2015 12:03 pm
- Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
- Topic: Conditional forecasts using VAR
- Replies: 3
- Views: 5733
Re: Conditional forecasts using VAR
Hi Tom, Thank you for the suggestions. I have re-worked the model with the same variables (but using log levels as you suggest to facilitate conditional growth forecasts in the variables). The conditional forecasts that I need to use (over the period 2015 to 2018) are for growth in the equity market...
- Wed Mar 18, 2015 5:03 am
- Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
- Topic: Conditional forecasts using VAR
- Replies: 3
- Views: 5733
Conditional forecasts using VAR
Hello, I was trying to compute conditional forecasts using a VAR model (p.241). The RATS (v.8) User Guide example 7.6 contains an example of conditional forecasting with a VAR model (see below). This example assumes a 5% annual growth rate in GDP. It is compute fstart=2007:1,fend=2009:4 @condition(m...
- Wed Aug 08, 2007 10:58 am
- Forum: General Econometrics
- Topic: Marginal effects in Tobit
- Replies: 1
- Views: 8060
Marginal effects in Tobit
Hi, does anyone have a code for estimating the marginal effects in a tobit model and the various specification tests covered in Greene's textbook treatment of tobit models? Thanks.
- Wed Dec 20, 2006 7:02 am
- Forum: General Econometrics
- Topic: Two-sided tobit
- Replies: 1
- Views: 8382
Two-sided tobit
Hi, does RATS run two-sided tobit analysis, e.g., censored at 0 (lower) and 1 (upper)? I note from the wizard for limited/qualitative dependent variables that there is an upper and a lower limit for censored (tobit) - is this the same thing? Thanks in advance.