Search found 10 matches

by holyw160
Mon May 29, 2017 11:58 am
Forum: Looking for Code?
Topic: Monte Carlo forecast paths using a VECM model directly
Replies: 1
Views: 6063

Monte Carlo forecast paths using a VECM model directly

Hi, does any one have an example of simulated forecast paths (using monte carlo methods) of a variable from a vector error correction model?

Thank you.
by holyw160
Sat Aug 20, 2016 6:23 am
Forum: Data: Reading, Writing, Transforming
Topic: Interpolating annual data to quarterly
Replies: 1
Views: 6023

Interpolating annual data to quarterly

Dear Sir, I was attempting to derive quarterly interpolated data for housing stock from a time series of annual data. As it is stock data that I am using, I wish to have the final quarter of each year equal to the value from the annual data (end-year) observation, so I presume that under options MAI...
by holyw160
Mon Jul 11, 2016 4:02 am
Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
Topic: Retrieving inverse roots of the characteristic equation
Replies: 2
Views: 6408

Retrieving inverse roots of the characteristic equation

Hi, I'm trying to implement the ARDL/bounds testing methodology of Pesaran, Shin & Smith (2001) and was trying to retrieve the inverse roots of the characteristic equation from the unrestricted ECMs. Does anyone have an example of the commands/code I should use, please? Thanks.
by holyw160
Fri Jan 22, 2016 3:13 am
Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
Topic: Recursive one-sided HP filtered trend
Replies: 3
Views: 6851

Re: Recursive one-sided HP filtered trend

You are probably aware of this, but in case you aren't ... all filters like this have serious problems near the edges of the data. The standard procedure to help minimize this is to augment the data with a forecast. (For example, see Ashley and Verbrugge, Econometric Reviews 2009). In quarterly dat...
by holyw160
Wed Jan 06, 2016 11:56 am
Forum: Other Time Series Analysis
Topic: Recursive one-sided HP filtered trend
Replies: 3
Views: 6851

Recursive one-sided HP filtered trend

Hi, does any one have an example of a one-sided Hodrick-Prescott filter for the purpose of calculating gaps/deviations from trend (e.g., credit to GDP ratio)? Thanks.
by holyw160
Mon Mar 23, 2015 12:03 pm
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: Conditional forecasts using VAR
Replies: 3
Views: 5733

Re: Conditional forecasts using VAR

Hi Tom, Thank you for the suggestions. I have re-worked the model with the same variables (but using log levels as you suggest to facilitate conditional growth forecasts in the variables). The conditional forecasts that I need to use (over the period 2015 to 2018) are for growth in the equity market...
by holyw160
Wed Mar 18, 2015 5:03 am
Forum: VARs (Vector Autoregression Models)
Topic: Conditional forecasts using VAR
Replies: 3
Views: 5733

Conditional forecasts using VAR

Hello, I was trying to compute conditional forecasts using a VAR model (p.241). The RATS (v.8) User Guide example 7.6 contains an example of conditional forecasting with a VAR model (see below). This example assumes a 5% annual growth rate in GDP. It is compute fstart=2007:1,fend=2009:4 @condition(m...
by holyw160
Wed Aug 08, 2007 10:58 am
Forum: General Econometrics
Topic: Marginal effects in Tobit
Replies: 1
Views: 8060

Marginal effects in Tobit

Hi, does anyone have a code for estimating the marginal effects in a tobit model and the various specification tests covered in Greene's textbook treatment of tobit models? Thanks.
by holyw160
Wed Dec 20, 2006 7:02 am
Forum: General Econometrics
Topic: Two-sided tobit
Replies: 1
Views: 8382

Two-sided tobit

Hi, does RATS run two-sided tobit analysis, e.g., censored at 0 (lower) and 1 (upper)? I note from the wizard for limited/qualitative dependent variables that there is an upper and a lower limit for censored (tobit) - is this the same thing? Thanks in advance.