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Tsay JASA 1998 Threshold VAR

PostPosted: Wed Mar 30, 2011 9:39 am
by TomDoan
These are "replications" for Tsay (1998), "Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models", J. of American Statistical Assn, vol. 93, no. 443, 1188-1202. Note that the calculations in the paper had a serious programming error with the log likelihoods being computed incorrectly. (I'm fairly sure that instead of using - T/2 log |Sigma|, they used - T/2 log |T Sigma|). This forced the estimates towards breaks that are roughly equally spaced. The calculations here use the proper likelihoods.

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